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Financial theory and practice, Vol.31 No.3 September 2007. -

The article introduces a new methodology of temporal influence measurement seasonal oscillations, temporal patterns for behavioural scoring development purposes. The paper shows how significant temporal variables can be recognised and then integrated

into the behavioural scoring models in order to improve model performance.

Behavioural scoring models are integral parts of the Basel II standard on Internal Ratings-Based Approaches IRB. The IRB approach much more precisely reflects individual risk bank profile.

A solution of the problem of how to analyze and integrate macroeconomic and microeconomic factors represented in time series into behavioural scorecard models will be shown in the paper by using the REF II model.

credit scoring; REF II; time series analyze; data mining; temporal influence; seasonal oscillation; Basel II

Autor: Goran Klepac -



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