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Bulletin of E.U. and US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis nº 235Other title: BIMA

Editor: Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto Flores de Lemus. Laboratorio de Predicción y Análisis Macroeconómico

Issued date: 2014-05

Citation: Bulletin of E.U. and US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis, nº 235 2014. Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto Flores de Lemus. Laboratorio de Predicción y Análisis Macroeconómico

ISSN: 1888-9298 print

Keywords: Macroeconomic Forecast and Analysis , Prices , European Union , United States

Rights: Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 España





Fuente: http://e-archivo.uc3m.es


Introducción



Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Repositorio institucional e-Archivo http:--e-archivo.uc3m.es Bulletin EU and US inflation and macroeconomic analysis (BIMA) BIMA 2014 2014-05 Bulletin of E.U.
and US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis nº 235 Bulletin of E.U.
and US Inflation and Macroeconomic Analysis, nº 235 (2014).
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid.
Instituto Flores de Lemus.
Laboratorio de Predicción y Análisis Macroeconómico http:--hdl.handle.net-10016-18890 Descargado de e-Archivo, repositorio institucional de la Universidad Carlos III de Madrid N.
235 May 2014 Inflation expectations in the euro area still halfway to BCE’s target. 4 3 2 1 0 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 -1 40% 20% Source: EUROSTAT and BIAM (UC3M) Date: April 16, 2014 Year-on-year euro area HICP would only reach 1.5% in December of 2015.
For the rest of 2014 , consistenly under 1%. HICP Core 81.71% Total 100% 2014 Annual average rates 2012 2013 1.2 (±0.14) 1.8 1.3 1 1.1 (±0.2) (±0.58) 0.8 (±0.12) 2.5 1.4 0.7 1.2 (±0.37) (±0.96) March April 0.9 0.5 Source: EUROSTAT and BIAM (UC3M) Date: April 16, 2014 2014 P.
1 The evolution of the foreign sector in 2013 and perspectives for 20142015 P.
42 INFLATION IN THE EURO AREA* Annual rates Economic Outlook “In the economic context of the month of April in Spain, most indicators pointed i n t he di re cti o n o f a gra dual improvement in the situation regarding the international financial markets and activity.
However, the ecoonomically active populatio n surve y ( EA PS) registered a downwards surprise in relation to the employment and active population forecasts.
In the international co nt ext , t he ECB ’s pe rforma nce continues to be controversial, as the euro area is registering weak growth with much lower than the target inflation rates.
An analysis of the probability of low inflation is very significant, as consolidation of inflation fo recast s at tho se level s...





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