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Advances in Meteorology - Volume 2015 2015, Article ID 530764, 16 pages -

Research Article

Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Information Technology, State Oceanic Administration, National Marine Data and Information Service, Tianjin 300171, China

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08542, USA

Center for Climate Research and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA

Laboratory of Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China

Department of Scientific Computing, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA

Received 24 October 2014; Revised 5 January 2015; Accepted 5 January 2015

Academic Editor: Hiroyuki Hashiguchi

Copyright © 2015 Guijun Han et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

Coupling parameter estimation CPE that uses observations to estimate the parameters in a coupled model through error covariance between variables residing in different media may increase the consistency of estimated parameters in an air-sea coupled system. However, it is very challenging to accurately evaluate the error covariance between such variables due to the different characteristic time scales at which flows vary in different media. With a simple Lorenz-atmosphere and slab ocean coupled system that characterizes the interaction of two-timescale media in a coupled -climate- system, this study explores feasibility of the CPE with four-dimensional variational analysis and ensemble Kalman filter within a perfect observing system simulation experiment framework. It is found that both algorithms can improve the representation of air-sea coupling processes through CPE compared to state estimation only. These simple model studies provide some insights when parameter estimation is implemented with a coupled general circulation model for improving climate estimation and prediction initialization.





Autor: Guijun Han, Xinrong Wu, Shaoqing Zhang, Zhengyu Liu, Ionel Michael Navon, and Wei Li

Fuente: https://www.hindawi.com/



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