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Abstract

It is often purported that unusually dry conditions provoke riots by intensifying the competition for water. The present paper explores this hypothesis, using data from Sub-Saharan Africa. We rely on monthly data at the cell level 0.5x0.5 degrees, an approach that is tailored to the fact that riots are short-lived and local events. Using a drought index to proxy for deviations of the actual climatic water balance from the normalone, we find that a one-standard-deviation fall in the index signaling drier conditions raises the likelihood of a riot in a given cell and monthby 8.5 percent. We further observe that the effect of unusual dryness issubstantially larger in cells that combine a low supply of blue water withsignificant agricultural activity, a finding that supports the relevance ofthe water-competition mechanism.



Item Type: MPRA Paper -

Original Title: Water Scarcity and Rioting: Disaggregated Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa-

Language: English-

Keywords: Conflict, riots, water scarcity, disaggregateddata-

Subjects: D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D74 - Conflict ; Conflict Resolution ; Alliances ; RevolutionsO - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Other Primary ProductsO - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O17 - Formal and Informal Sectors ; Shadow Economy ; Institutional Arrangements-





Autor: Almer, Christian

Fuente: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/34487/







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