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BMC Public Health

, 9:19

First Online: 15 January 2009Received: 13 August 2008Accepted: 15 January 2009DOI: 10.1186-1471-2458-9-19

Cite this article as: Kysely, J., Pokorna, L., Kyncl, J. et al. BMC Public Health 2009 9: 19. doi:10.1186-1471-2458-9-19

Abstract

BackgroundThe association between cardiovascular mortality and winter cold spells was evaluated in the population of the Czech Republic over 21-yr period 1986–2006. No comprehensive study on cold-related mortality in central Europe has been carried out despite the fact that cold air invasions are more frequent and severe in this region than in western and southern Europe.

MethodsCold spells were defined as periods of days on which air temperature does not exceed -3.5°C. Days on which mortality was affected by epidemics of influenza-acute respiratory infections were identified and omitted from the analysis. Excess cardiovascular mortality was determined after the long-term changes and the seasonal cycle in mortality had been removed. Excess mortality during and after cold spells was examined in individual age groups and genders.

ResultsCold spells were associated with positive mean excess cardiovascular mortality in all age groups 25–59, 60–69, 70–79 and 80+ years and in both men and women. The relative mortality effects were most pronounced and most direct in middle-aged men 25–59 years, which contrasts with majority of studies on cold-related mortality in other regions. The estimated excess mortality during the severe cold spells in January 1987 +274 cardiovascular deaths is comparable to that attributed to the most severe heat wave in this region in 1994.

ConclusionThe results show that cold stress has a considerable impact on mortality in central Europe, representing a public health threat of an importance similar to heat waves. The elevated mortality risks in men aged 25–59 years may be related to occupational exposure of large numbers of men working outdoors in winter. Early warnings and preventive measures based on weather forecast and targeted on the susceptible parts of the population may help mitigate the effects of cold spells and save lives.

Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article doi:10.1186-1471-2458-9-19 contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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Autor: Jan Kysely - Lucie Pokorna - Jan Kyncl - Bohumir Kriz

Fuente: https://link.springer.com/







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