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Reference: Frank Arntzenius, (1997). Transition chances and causation. Pacific Philosophical Quarterly, 78 (2), 149-168.Citable link to this page:


Transition chances and causation

Abstract: The general claims of this paper are as follows. As a result of chaotic dynamics we can usually not know what the deterministic causes of events are. There will however be invariant forwards transition chances from earlier types of events, which we call the causes, to later types of events, which we call the effects. There will be no invariant backwards transition chances between these types of events. This asymmetry has the same origin and explanation as the arrow of time of thermodynamics.

Publication status:PublishedPeer Review status:Peer reviewedVersion:Updated Author's OriginalNotes:Citation: Arntzenius, F. (1997) ' Transition chances and causation', Pacific Philosophical Quarterly, 78(2), 149-168. [Available at].

Bibliographic Details

Publisher: Blackwell Publishing

Publisher Website:

Host: Pacific Philosophical Quarterlysee more from them

Publication Website:

Issue Date: 1997-June

Copyright Date: 1997



Issn: 0279-0750

Eissn: 1468-0114

Urn: uuid:f948a4ec-399a-4c66-84e5-5d4d32f8d108 Item Description

Type: Article: post-print;

Language: en

Version: Updated Author's OriginalKeywords: transition chance asymmetry causationSubjects: Philosophy Tiny URL: ora:1551


Author: Prof Frank Arntzenius - institutionUniversity of Oxford facultyHumanities Division - Philosophy Faculty oxfordCollegeUniversity C



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