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The objective of this study was to analyze the performance of Alberta farmland relative toinvestment opportunities from financial securities. It is an extension of an earlier study undertaken byMercier (1988) and Phillips et al. (1989). This study re-examines the period from 1964 to 1985, andextends the data series to 1989.The results show that Alberta farmland out performed the stock market in both nominal and realterms, but with greater volatility. In nominal terms, farmland had an annual return of 19.8% as opposedto 12.2% in the stock market. The standard deviation of returns in farmland was 20.6% compared to16.2%. The real return for farmland was 12.6% whereas the stock market earned 5.9%. About 55% of thetotal return to investment in Alberta farmland was due to capital gain; measured in real terms, incomeaccounted for the major portion at about 66%.Farmland and stock market returns were found to be uncorrelated in both nominal and real terms.Beta values, which measure the degree of association, were estimated at -0.1632 and -0.1351 for nominaland real terms respectively. Neither nominal nor real beta values were significantly different from zero atthe 5% probability level. These results are not inconsistent with earlier studies, and are attributed to thefact that returns in agriculture are subject to a different set of economic and environmental influences thanare present for the stock market generally. This suggests possibilities for risk reduction by including stockmarket investments in conjunction with farmland ownership.Whereas no correlation was found between farmland and the stock market, returns in excess ofwhat can be explained by compensation for risk were detected. The estimated alpha values of 11.27%and 10.21% for the nominal and real situations were significantly different from zero at the 5% level ofprobability. These values may be due, partially, to the fact that real estate taxes were not deducted incomputing the results. Furthermore, the costs of administration in farmland investments, because of themuch less formal market environment in which they are held, may be considerably greater than for thestock market. In addition,' stock market investments are considerably more divisible and liquid than is thefarmland counterpart. Factors such as these bear further study.

Subject(s): Agricultural Finance

Land Economics/Use

Issue Date: 1993

Publication Type: Report

PURL Identifier: http://purl.umn.edu/232373

Total Pages: 49

Series Statement: Project Report

93-08

Record appears in: University of Alberta > Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology (REES) > Project Report Series





Autor: Phillips, W. ; Bauer, L. ; Akabua, K.

Fuente: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/232373?ln=en







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