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The trend in instability in crop production in Gujarat has been analyzed for the 30-year period from1980-81 to 2010-11 by following the method of ‘first differences’ or the moving period approach. Therelation of instability with growth has also been examined. While investigating the growth performanceat the district level, explicit account has been taken of the impact of rainfall on yield of crops/crop groups.The study has observed the decade of 2000s to be the period of high growth in the agricultural sector.But, despite accelerated agricultural growth in the 2000s’ decade, the influence of climatic variables israther strong on the productivity levels of major crops cultivated in Gujarat. This has been seen even forthe districts. The crop sector is marked by volatility in its growth. Research and policy support is neededfor raising productivity in the rain-fed areas and also for insulating the crop sector from year-to-yearvariations in rainfall. The study has suggested that development of assured irrigation measures, ‘climatesmart’agricultural practices, farmer-friendly insurance schemes and better weather forecasting wouldprovide a sound shield to crop production in Gujarat against the vagaries of weather and long-termchanges in climate.

Keywords: growth ; instability ; climate change ; crop production ; Gujarat agriculture

Subject(s): Agricultural and Food Policy

Issue Date: 2013

Publication Type: Journal Article

PURL Identifier: http://purl.umn.edu/158489 Published in: Agricultural Economics Research Review, Volume 26

Conference Number Page range: 43-55

Total Pages: 14

JEL Codes: O12; O13; O47; Q10; Q54

Record appears in: Agricultural Economics Research Association (India) > Agricultural Economics Research Review

Agricultural Economics Research Review





Autor: Mehta, Niti

Fuente: http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/158489?ln=en







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