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Journal of Economic Structures

, 4:19

First Online: 11 November 2015Received: 07 April 2015Revised: 01 September 2015Accepted: 19 October 2015


This study attempts to investigate the determinants of industrial output in Syria over the period 1980–2010. The ADF unit root test, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response functions, variance decomposition analysis, and stability tests are used in this study. The Johansen cointegration test indicates that industrial output is positively related to capital, manufactured exports, population and agricultural output, but negatively related to the oil price. Agricultural output has the biggest effect on industrial output. The Granger causality test indicates bidirectional causality between capital, oil price, manufacturing exports, population, agricultural output, and industrial output in the short and long run.

KeywordsOil-dependent economy Industrial output Capital Manufactured exports Oil price VAR Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article doi:10.1186-s40008-015-0030-7 contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

JEL ClassificationsO11 E20  Download fulltext PDF

Autor: Adel Shakeeb Mohsen - Soo Y. Chua - Che Normee Che Sab


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