The Future of Nuclear Energy: Facts and Fiction Chapter II: What is known about Secondary Uranium Resources - Physics > Physics and SocietyReport as inadecuate




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Abstract: During 2009 nuclear power plants, with a capacity of 370 GWe, will produceroughly 14% of the worldwide electric energy. About 65000 tons of naturaluranium equivalent are required to operate these reactors. For 15 years onaverage only 2-3 of this fuel is provided by the uranium mines and 1-3 comesfrom secondary resources. In this paper the situation concerning the secondaryresources at the beginning of the year 2009 is presented. The data used arefrom the IAEA-NEA 2007 Red Book -Uranium Resources, Production and Demand-,and from the World Nuclear Association WNA.Our analysis shows that these civilian stocks will be essentially exhaustedwithin the next 5 years. This coincides roughly with the year 2013, when thedelivery of the 10000 tons of natural uranium equivalent from russian militarystocks to the USA will end. As the majority of the remaining civilian stocks,about 30000 tons, are believed to be under the control of the US government andamerican companies, it seems rather unlikely that the USA will share their ownstrategic uranium reserves with other large nuclear energy users. All dataindicate that a uranium supply shortage in many OECD countries can only beavoided if the remaining military uranium stocks from Russia and the USA,estimated to be roughly 500000 tons are made available to the other countries.



Author: Michael Dittmar

Source: https://arxiv.org/







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